Sedico Markets

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BTCUSD

Banks are NET SHORT.

Hedge funds are NET LONG.

This is important because banks usually hedge at tops and buy near bottoms.

What Banks Are Likely Doing
When commercial traders hold more shorts than longs, it usually means:

They expect short-term downside or consolidation.

They may push price to liquidity below support before buying.

So the most probable move first:

➡ Liquidity sweep down

The chart actually shows this scenario perfectly.

Liquidity Map on Chart
Major Liquidity Zones
Sell-side liquidity

66,000 – 66,400

Equal lows / support

Buy-side liquidity

73,000 – 74,400

Previous highs

Market makers often move:

1️⃣ Down to take liquidity
2️⃣ Then up for expansion

Institutional Scenario (Most Likely)
Phase 1 – Liquidity Grab
Price likely moves:

70k → 66k

Reason:

Stop losses under support

Banks cover shorts / open longs

Phase 2 – Expansion Move
After liquidity sweep:

66k → 73k → 74k

This matches the pink arrow idea.

Smart Money Trading Plan
Sell area

70,500 – 71,500

Target

66,300 liquidity

Then:

Buy area

66,000 – 66,500

Targets

72,500

74,000

Confirmation Signals to Watch
Before buying at 66k look for:

✔ Bullish engulfing on H1/H4
✔ Stop-hunt wick
✔ Volume spike
✔ Market structure shift

✅ Conclusion

Banks positioning suggests:

Short-term:
📉 Drop toward 66k liquidity

Then:
📈 Large move toward 73k–74k

Our chart analysis is very aligned with institutional positioning.

Gold Forecast for the Week of March 9-13, 2026

https://sedicomarkets.co.za/2026/02/15/cftc-report-dated-10-february-2026/

CFTC report dated 10 February 2026 - Sedico Markets The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (Commission or CFTC) publishes the Commitments of Traders (COT) reports to help the public understand market

https://sedicomarkets.co.za/2026/02/09/cftc-report-dated-03-february-2026/

CFTC report dated 03 February 2026 - Sedico Markets The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (Commission or CFTC) publishes the Commitments of Traders (COT) reports to help the public understand market

https://sedicomarkets.co.za/2026/02/06/cftc-report-dated-27-january-2026/

sedicomarkets.co.za

https://sedicomarkets.co.za/2026/01/30/cftc-report-dated-20-january-2026/

CFTC report dated 20 January 2026 - Sedico Markets The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (Commission or CFTC) publishes the Commitments of Traders (COT) reports to help the public understand market

https://sedicomarkets.co.za/2026/01/12/cftc-report-dated-06-january-2026/

CFTC report dated 06 January 2026 - Sedico Markets The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (Commission or CFTC) publishes the Commitments of Traders (COT) reports to help the public understand market

https://sedicomarkets.co.za/2026/01/08/cftc-report-dated-30-december-2025/

CFTC report dated 30 December 2025 - Sedico Markets The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (Commission or CFTC) publishes the Commitments of Traders (COT) reports to help the public understand market

https://sedicomarkets.co.za/2026/01/08/cftc-report-dated-23-december-2025/

CFTC report dated 23 December 2025 - Sedico Markets The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (Commission or CFTC) publishes the Commitments of Traders (COT) reports to help the public understand market