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Financial News update:

South Africa

The local bourse tracked firmer global markets on Tuesday, as optimism over a possible coronavirus vaccine lifted sentiment. The All Share gained 1.06%.

United States

US shares jumped and the S&P 500 crossed 3 000 points on Tuesday as optimism about a potential coronavirus vaccine and a revival in business activity helped investors overlook simmering Sino-US tensions. At 19h45, the Dow was trading 2.74% in the green.

Europe

European shares closed at an 11-week high on Tuesday, with travel and leisure stocks soaring on hopes of a revival in tourism as countries gradually reopened after months-long lockdowns. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose 1.10%.

Hong Kong

Hong Kong shares ended higher on Tuesday, mirroring a rally across Asia, as investors welcomed the promise of more stimulus in China and the gradual reopening of the global economy. The Hang Seng closed up by 1.88%.

Japan

Japanese stocks climbed on Tuesday to their highest in nearly three months as investors cheered Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s decision to lift the state of emergency and end coronavirus-induced restrictions nationwide. The benchmark Nikkei closed up by 2.55%.

Rand

The rand firmed to its best level in two months on Tuesday as progress in the search for a COVID-19 vaccine lifted sentiment. US biotech company Novavax said on Monday that it had started human trials of its vaccine. At 19h45, a dollar cost R17.37.

Precious metals

Gold was flat on Tuesday as brewing US-China tension over Hong Kong offset pressure from the easing of coronavirus-induced curbs and gains in stock markets. An ounce of gold traded at $1 711.44 at 19h45.

Oil

Oil prices rose on Tuesday, supported by growing confidence that producers are following through on commitments to cut crude supplies while fuel demand picks up with more cars back on the road as COVID-19 lockdowns ease. At 19h45, a barrel of Brent crude traded at $35.38.

U.S. Stocks Set To Open Lower After The Initial Jobless Claims Report:

U.S. Stock Market

U.S. Initial Claims Report Comes In Line With Analyst Estimates S&P 500 futures are pointing to a lower open following the release of the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims report which showed that 2.4 million Americans filed for unemployment benefits in a week, in line with analyst consensus.

Continuing Jobless Claims report showed that 25 million people were getting unemployment benefits compared to consensus of 24.8 million. It should be noted that Continuing Jobless Claims data lags Initial Jobless Claims data by one week.

Today, the market will also have to digest Flash PMI numbers for May. Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash is expected to rise from 36.1 in April to 38 in May, while Markit Services PMI Flash is projected to increase from 26.7 to 30.

World Coronavirus Cases Pass The 5 Million Mark. According to data from Johns Hopkins University, the number of registered coronavirus cases in the world is 5,019,676. U.S. remains the leader with more than 1.5 million cases, with Russia in the second place with more than 300,000 cases and Brazil ranking third.

The recent rise in the number of coronavirus cases in Latin America has raised worries about the situation in the region. Latin America is less prepared to deal with the crisis compared to Europe so its problems with containing the disease may lead to an additional downside revision of the world economy’s growth in 2020.

Another region that may worry the market is Africa, where the epidemic is just getting started but could lead to various disruptions in the resource-rich continent if it is not contained.

U.S. – China Tensions Increase Again

U.S. President Donald Trump has renewed his pressure on China for its failure to stop the spread of coronavirus, saying that China could have easily stopped the disease but did not do it.

Now that the U.S. wants to reroute supply chains out of China while it also tries to limit Huawei’s ability to access modern chips, investors and traders are watching for the signs of a new round of trade war between the two biggest economies in the world.

Making changes to the existing supply chains always comes at a cost so any escalation in U.S. – China relations will further hurt the world economy. However, it remains to be seen whether such escalation will be bearish for markets that are generally optimistic on the upcoming recovery.

Source : Fx Empire

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Time: Apr 15, 2020 07:00 PM Johannesburg

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