08/26/2026
đ New research from NCPERS shows that have reached their strongest fiscal sustainability position in more than 20 years, as they continue to make significant progress towards aligning long-term pension obligations with the economies that support them. https://bit.ly/3Ul2JsK
"Measuring the Fiscal Sustainability of Public Pensions" builds on NCPERSâ sustainability valuation framework, introduced in 2022 as a complement to traditional pension funding measures. Much as a homeowner evaluates a 30-year mortgage against decades of income rather than a single yearâs paycheck, the framework allows pension liabilities to be evaluated against long-term economic capacity.
Analyzing data from 2002 through 2024, the research finds:
⢠National Pension Liabilities Are Sustainable: Pension liabilities relative to economic capacity have declined steadily in recent years. The report finds that the national sustainability ratio has remained below its long-term average for four consecutive years, and now stands at its lowest point in the 23-year study window.
⢠48 States Are at or Below Their Sustainability Benchmarks: The research evaluates each stateâs pension obligations against its own historical sustainability benchmark. As of 2024, 48 states are at or below those benchmarks, representing the strongest overall position in more than 20 years.
⢠Even the Most Stressed States Have Made Progress: Illinois, the original studyâs most prominent example of fiscal sustainability challenges, spent twelve consecutive years above its sustainability benchmark from 2010 through 2021. In 2022 it crossed back below that benchmark for the first time in over a decade, and it remains below it today.
"For too long, conversations about public pensions have focused almost exclusively on liabilities without considering the economic capacity that supports them," said NCPERS' CEO Hank Kim. "This research shows that public pension systems are not only meeting their obligations, but doing so in a way that is increasingly sustainable relative to economic growth." https://bit.ly/4y9rzdP
The report also includes a comprehensive state-by-state sustainability analysis covering 2002 through 2024, allowing stakeholders to compare pension obligations, economic capacity, and long-term trends across all 50 states. See how your state measures up: https://bit.ly/3SWOVEr