10/21/2024
Agribusiness Value Investing π½π₯
Analysts at Goldman Sachs now estimate the S&P 500 will produce an annual 3% rate of return over the next ten years. They also estimate that inflation will average 2% annually.
Assuming the actual inflation rate stays at 2%, is a 1% net annual return worth the risk? π‘
This is one of the reasons broad stock market index funds alone may not benefit investors today. You can certainly own S&P 500 index funds. However, due to their concentration in technology, they aren't as well diversified. π©
That's why balancing growth with value is very important. One area with great investment potential today is agriculture.
For example, the Van Eck Agribusiness ETF (MOO) holds companies Bunge SA, Ltd. (BG), Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), Tyson Foods (TSN), and Deere and Company (DE). MOO is down nearly 30% from its peak two years ago. When higher inflation returns, many of these companies will become much more valuable again. π°
The reason inflation causes agricultural prices to rise is because food is a needs-based business. For example, consumers are more likely to pay higher prices for food than for entertainment. Many of them have no choice. This gives agribusinesses pricing power during inflationary times. It also results in the value of their companies rising proportionately. π
This is not a recommendation to buy MOO. Do your own research and consult with your financial advisor before making any investments. However, I do recommend having a balanced investment portfolio based on your own goals.
If you missed our value investing webinar, you can still watch it over the next couple days. Join our Money Mission Facebook group to learn more. π
Have a great week and I'll talk to you again soon! π₯