CAPS - Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms

Congrats to CAPS and OU School of Meteorology Graduate Student, Evan Chladny, for winning the First Place Student Poster Award at the joint 15th Research-to-Operations and 21st Symposium on Operational Satellites Systems poster session at the American Meteorological Society's Annual Meetings. His poster was part of CAPS' 3-km ensemble work with the NWS Hydrometeorology Testbed titled, "Developing an Ensemble Machine Learning Framework for Flash Flood Prediction"

CAPS Senior Scientist and Director of Research, Nate Snook, and his team from CAPS and OU AI2ES groups have been awarded an NSF grant to use Deep Learning machine learning techniques to advance our understanding of tornadogenesis processes.

OU Researchers to Use Deep Learning to Understand Tornadoes The National Science Foundation has funded a team of OU scientists to take a cutting-edge approach to understanding the life cycle of tornadoes.

Our paper on the CAPS Spatial Aligned Mean, a novel way to create consensus forecasts of precipitation from an ensemble of convection-allowing forecasts is now available in Weather and Forecasting early online release. Check it out here:

https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/aop/WAF-D-23-0229.1/WAF-D-23-0229.1.xml

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CAPS Senior Research Scientist Daphne LaDue recently had an essay published in Yale Climate Connections on making homes more tornado resilient.

How to make your home more tornado-resilient » Yale Climate Connections Some things to think about the next time you're repairing or renovating your home.

From CAPS Senior Scientist, Dr. Daphe Ladue: I am excited that Beth Hurst is presenting virtually at the National Weather Association's 48th Annual Meeting TODAY. Her showcase is #246. For NWA attendees: we'll both be available via the conference ap. at 3:45 today.
Interested in the work we've been doing? Check out our newest StoryMap that compares the Brief Vulnerability Overview Tool to other vulnerability GIS datasets:

Vulnerability Maps and IDSS Comparing the BVOT to Other Tools

Although it occurred during the NOAA/HMT FFaIR hiatus for the AMS NWP Conference, we ran the 00 UTC 17 July forecasts this week. CAPS Ensemble Consensus products did very well for the Southern Illinois/Western Kentucky flash floods of July 18-19th. Here is 60 h forecast of 6h precipitation...

This summer CAPS is running a 15-member 3-km resolution forecast ensemble over the US for the operational weeks of the NOAA HMT Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall Experiment (FFaIR) using the UFS FV3-LAM model. Novel products include machine learning (U-net Deep Learning) significant rainfall probabilities and ensemble means generated after spatial alignment of members (Spatial-Aligned Mean). The public can view selected forecast products here:

CAPS | 2 m AGL temperature postage stamps

Congrats to CAPS scientists and affiliates for new research grants advancing research in societal impacts of storms and improving storm warnings for citizens! NOAA has recently approved for funding a proposal led by Daphne Ladue, "Streamlining Development of the Brief Vulnerability Overview Tool (BVOT) and Assessing the BVOT’s Impact on Tailored Messaging", one led by Alex Marmo, "Leveraging Efforts to Provide Localized Probabilistic and Timing Guidance for NWS Core Partners " and another led by CASR scientist, Beth Hurst, "Rural Region Readiness: Collaborative Learning through Integrated Warning Team Workshop Sessions on Tornado Safety"

Congrats to CAPS Director, Ming Xue!

The American Geophysical Union (AGU)'s Fall 2022 meeting begins next week. Researchers are excited to contribute more than 150 distinct presentations, sessions, and talks to the largest gathering of the Earth & space research community!

Plus, Ming Xue, Ph.D., Weathernews Chair and George Lynn Cross Research Professor of the School of Meteorology will be formally inducted as an AGU Fellow!
🌍 🌎 🌏

Check out OU presentations at bit.ly/AGU-OU-S

Congratulations to CAPS Director, Dr. Ming Xue, as he is named AGU Fellow.

Congratulations to Ming Xue, Ph.D., Weathernews Chair and George Lynn Cross Research Professor of the OU School of Meteorology, who has been elected as a 2022 Fellow of the American Geophysical Union (AGU)! 🎉 Learn more at https://bit.ly/3SeKDSO