OptionsJive

Never buy stocks or options again. Learn to sell fear instead. It can pay for every horrible financial decision you've ever made.

Follow for free trade ideas and blog posts packed with actionable insights and research: https://optionsjive.com

09/30/2026

options that expire this Friday are priced at 106.9% volatility. The ones expiring five days later: 77.4%.

MU reports tonight, and nearly all of the earnings risk is packed into the Friday options. It's the biggest event of my week, because it will set the direction for a lot of semiconductor trades.

I did the research on the move itself, and it looks fairly priced:

Implied move tonight: about 8%
MU's 10-year median earnings move: 7.7%
The real move beat the implied one in 9 of the last 16 reports

Earlier this year Micron beat revenue by $3.89B and still fell 3.8% the next day, so tonight the next-quarter guide matters more than the numbers.

It's an advanced, high-risk trade. The full breakdown, including where it breaks, is on Patreon. Link in the first comment.

09/29/2026

Most options educators stop at the entry, and when a trade goes wrong, you're left alone with the hardest decision in trading.

I haven't seen anyone fix losing trades in public, with real money, before the outcome is known. We're going to.

I've shown my personal portfolio on YouTube for years now, and nobody else has done it this openly for this long. Now I'm opening a separate tastytrade account, built to repair your ugliest trades live.

It's called the Ugly Trades Public Portfolio. I'll use every trick I rely on in the audited hedge fund I co-manage, and you'll see why I make each move.

I want the first trade in the account to be yours. Details and the Discord link are in the first comment.

09/28/2026

A super creative pairs trade: let silver pay for your NVDA upside.

My NVDA trade risks $507.
My SLV trade pays $514 if silver drifts lower.

Today the 10-year yield broke 5.23%. SLV dropped 5% and NVDA gained 2% in the same session.

If silver keeps sliding into November, it pays out first. My NVDA position then runs its last 4 weeks on silver's money.

I checked the correlation too. It jumped to about 0.57 over the last month, so a real-yield shock can hit both at once. That loss is in the article in plain dollars.

Full breakdown on Patreon. Link in the first comment.

09/24/2026

'Bonds are the safe part of your portfolio.'

Then explain this: it's down 53% from its 2020 high, sitting at its lowest price since the fund launched in 2002.

Every 25bp higher in long rates costs another 3.8%. The Fed isn't done hiking.

Duration is a leveraged bet on where rates go. Most people holding this fund never signed up to make one.

Tell me I'm wrong. Trade's in the comments.

09/21/2026

Brazil votes for president on October 4, and I noticed something in the options chain that doesn't normally happen.

Puts are supposed to be the expensive side. That's the whole point of election fear, it buys crash insurance. Not this time. Calls are the rich side right now.

Then I checked the IV Rank. 101, the scale caps at 100.

So I built a structure around it, which might be the cheapest way into an election-vol trade in the market.

Full trade and my exit plan are on Patreon, link's in the comments.

09/19/2026

I was in Omaha last year when Warren Buffett announced he was stepping down as CEO. He dropped it at the very end of the meeting and said thanks for coming like it was any other year, and then the whole arena stood up. I can still hear the applause.

On Friday he stepped down as chairman too. His son Howard takes over and Warren stays on the board, so I know I'm being dramatic. But the line in his letter to shareholders got me: "Father Time always wins." If you trade options, you know that one already. We call it theta. Every day an option loses a little value, and if you sold it, that's your paycheck.

And yes, Buffett was one of us. Between 2004 and 2008 he sold roughly $37 billion notional of index puts with 15 and 20 years on the clock.

Thank you, Warren. I'd pay the premium for ten more years of you on that stage. Who else was there?

09/17/2026

's IV Rank: 11, and its actual implied volatility: 63.6%. One of those numbers is FAKE.

I sold a Big Lizard on it for $675 again this morning. No upside risk, so it could double from here and I still get paid.

is 168 days old. It hit $6.5 billion in assets in its first 27 trading days, the fastest any ETF has ever grown. That's not enough history for a rank to mean anything.

Same trade I ran on it in August, back again for November. Full trade in today's article. Link in the first comment.

09/11/2026

Most of trade ideas I post here runs 70-80% probability of profit. Boring, by design.

Then once in a while, one gets tested, and that's when the real learning happens. You can't learn real management from a trade that never goes against you.

Our current call ratio just got tested, deep in the money on the wrong side. Today I'm walking through the 7 chess moves we run inside the hedge fund for exactly this, the advanced side nobody really writes about.

One of them came out of a paper published this June, and it prices out 78% cheaper than the fix most of us reach for on instinct.

Real numbers off the live position are in the first comment.

09/09/2026

Yesterday one of my positions was still inside its short strike. This morning's 6% gap took the stock clean through both strikes on that side. I left it open and sold more premium on the untested side.

Half the comments on that will say I am throwing good money after bad, and I understand why. It does not rescue anything. The new credit cuts that bill by about 50% and adds one risk, which I name in the article.

The other two are new. All three sit in the same expiry, and the reason has nothing to do with the premium. Article in the comments.

09/07/2026

Only for advanced traders with large portfolios and hedge fund managers.

I spent the weekend going through a brand-new research paper. Six co-authors, hedging a short stock position, and one finding I could not put down.

They crippled their own hedge on purpose, capped it, and gave away the extreme tail. It still beat the uncapped version on 4 measures out of 5.

So I built the mirror of it for long equity, a new version of our famous Black Swan Hedge. We are researching it in the fund now.

Near-zero cost to put on. Inside the corridor the market falls another 20 points and your account does not move.

Link in the comments.

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https://optionsjive.com/

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