Agris Academy

Agris Academy Agris Academy is an educational and consulting business in merchandising, futures risk management, and farm business management.

Here is the link to today's interview with Ag Web.   It runs about 10 minutes and gives some more details on the VZ topi...
01/07/2026

Here is the link to today's interview with Ag Web. It runs about 10 minutes and gives some more details on the VZ topic

Jeff Kazin, formerly of Cargill, discusses his experience in Venezuela's agricultural sector.

01/05/2026

My Venezuela experience as head of trading in the region for Cargill.

Cargill was/is the leading producer of critical staple ingredients such as flour, pasta, vegetable oil, and rice in VZ. I am not saying I agree with grabbing the dictator, but I did have a front row seat to the damage a kleptocracy did to innocent people.
1. The government took over our "minute rice" facility at gunpoint because we were "gouging" the nation's poor. The government was never able to run the plant. It never ran again. It was returned years later with no equipment inside
2. There are 1000's of generals in the army. They are each given a slice of the economy to loot. The large number of generals made it difficult to organize a coup against the regime.
3. The government opened grocery stores and sold staples below the cost we sold them to the government. In theory they used petro oil money to lower grocery prices. Our regular grocery outlets were forced out of business. When the government demanded we sell them products below cost we simply had to shut down. The populous became ever more dependent on the government handouts. (PS this is the mayor of New York City's proposal.
4. Dollars- We needed dollars to go buy raw materials like wheat from places like the US and Canada. The government would periodically allocate us some dollars that could only be spent for raw materials and freight. Eventually only the local companies that can and would pay bribes got dollar allocations. We had several facilities closed for lack of raw material
5. My employees liked working for Cargill. The office was an armed compound with access to a gym, high speed internet, global communications, and a weekly box of basic staples. Cargill provided a safe and secure environment if only for the working hours.
6. Employees became very close to others inside the apartment building. Going out on the street with a desperate population was not advisable.
7. I needed wood pallets for feed. We tried to export wood pallets to swap for grain. We refused to pay the bribes it would take to export the pallets
8. I once tried to set up a closed loop wheat planting to flour mill supply chain. A. They came and stole all the seed wheat for food. When we tried to ship in seed wheat in containers via US donors there was no way to get it out of the port without it being stolen
9. Livestock- Our feed business completely collapsed. Even if you could raise a pig, you couldn't defend it from being stolen. People with guns were hungry.
10. Employees- In the end my highly skilled team alone with other highly educated people chose to leave. Cargill often found jobs for them in other Latin countries. The regime was more than happy to see the well-educated leave the country. Setting these employees up with high quality stable jobs after fleeing remains one of the best things I ever did in my career. No one remembers millions in trading earnings.

This is a short list. In my opinion the first money spent needs to happen now and it needs to be food. The US is already on the clock. The current regime does not care if it starves the population. The o**y of theft will actually accelerate if they believe their days are numbered. VZ should be an outstanding customer of US grown ag products. Rice, bread wheat, veg oil ect. Feed the people first.

Jeff Kazin
Former head trading Cargill

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I'm updating the balance sheet this afternoon.  There has been some big number land trade at public auction in my area. ...
12/21/2025

I'm updating the balance sheet this afternoon. There has been some big number land trade at public auction in my area.

How do you value land on your balance sheet?

Cost?
Current Market?
Current market less a liquidity discount?

Who is your bank and what do they allow? Seems this could be a big swing in the ratios.

12/20/2025

Buy low ... Sell Low?

Managed to escape the office and classroom to meet Mike at a farm in central MN. As we jumped from merchandising opportunities and risk management on grain to farm business management we started talking about opportunities.

Buy low.... Sell low
Low hour new equipment is severely depressed. My current model of X is also depressed. If we can see a large return on new technology, can we make the spread trade. Buy low late model X correctly and sell current technology Y low. Most of us hate to puke the equipment we currently have into a lousy market.

Focusing on smaller capital projects with very high return rates was the theme.

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Mike and Jeff show In case us corn farmers thought it was safe to go out.   I spoke with a rice farm this morning and re...
12/18/2025

Mike and Jeff show


In case us corn farmers thought it was safe to go out. I spoke with a rice farm this morning and realized that you could feed food grade rice to cows at today prices. That does not account for anything that would be off milling specifications. Throw in piles of milo across Kansas, Colorado, and Nebraska that are 80 cents a bushel under corn. There is more than corn in a feed grain supply.

Webinar 6PM tonight with Mike and Jeff ShowHosted by RJO/StoneX-    Top Economic Threats to your Farm in 2026(and strate...
12/17/2025

Webinar 6PM tonight with Mike and Jeff Show

Hosted by RJO/StoneX-

Top Economic Threats to your Farm in 2026
(and strategies for managing the risk)

Mike and I are dropping in to the top threats we see for Canadian and US Farms. We are also going to talk about strategies to manage the risk. This a little astray of our merchandising and risk management education practice but in the wheelhouse of the farm business management side. ( I also live it as active farmer)

Sign up at the below link and it will send you a reminder when the webinar starts. It will also send you a link to review the recording if you miss it. Should be a good mind expansion exercise. Ask questions live if you are so inclined!


Top Economic Threats for North American Farms in 2026 (and strategies to mitigiate risks)

A great "Agris After Dark" discussion with two ag bankers answering the tough questions.   Thanks to Duane Ostrem and Gr...
12/05/2025

A great "Agris After Dark" discussion with two ag bankers answering the tough questions. Thanks to Duane Ostrem and Grant Wiese for being in the hot seat. If you don't follow Grant
( on X ) you should.

Examples:
- Should a beginning farmer be paying $15,000 for land?
- What separates you most profitable farmers from the average farms?
- Is there are farm crisis?
- Why are land rents and land values not dropping?
+++

The list is long and thought provoking.

As farmers we benefit as the residual user of natural gas that is a co-product of oil recovery.    In today's AI energy ...
12/04/2025

As farmers we benefit as the residual user of natural gas that is a co-product of oil recovery. In today's AI energy hungry world, a remote Russian oil field could set up natural gas generators and data centers. Now they export electrons. Maybe they are mining Bitcoin instead of producing urea. No need to build expensive LNG plants or pipelines. The age of the low-cost energy molecule is quickly disappearing.

12/04/2025

Tonight's Agris After Dark has panel guest bankers/entrepreneurs Grant Wiese and Duane Ostrem. I get to ask the hard questions as we talk banking, land prices, and the ag economy.

Class will be a deep dive into knowing you farm risk. We have yet to encounter a farm that does this complete and correctly. We will go through the mechanics and the critical best practice that are incorporated into the Agris Risk Tracker. Understanding the risk to manage like a professional trader brings data and confidence to the farm.

You can still join the 2025 class at http://AgrisAcademy.com. All class are recorded and stored in collaboration with AcresTV for participant viewing. Email questions [email protected]

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Its webinar night tonight.  6PM Central     "stress dollars"We are going to explain how a "stress dollar" is calculated....
12/03/2025

Its webinar night tonight. 6PM Central "stress dollars"

We are going to explain how a "stress dollar" is calculated. We then apply this to farm grain risk. Stress dollar limits is one of the ways professional trading managers control risk. Understanding this will add a valuable new perspective to your farm.

6 PM Central
Link below: Sign up now and it will send you a reminder.

https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_Zi68LxtwTduCfSrpndvp_A #/registration

Hosted: by RJO/StoneX

My friend group often challenges each other, “Is that a $100 an hour job”.    I do it to them when they are trucking gra...
11/29/2025

My friend group often challenges each other, “Is that a $100 an hour job”. I do it to them when they are trucking grain. They get me on cutting firewood.

PS. Go Buckeyes!

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