08/23/2026
TROPICAL UPDATE
2:30 PM SUNDAY 8/23/2026
BOTTOM LINE: No tropical threats to the Carolinas over the next 10 days.
🟠 DISTURBANCE #1 – Satellite imagery shows showers and thunderstorms becoming a little better organized around an area of low pressure about 400 miles southeast of Bermuda. Some additional development is possible, and this could briefly become a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next couple of days. The good news is it's moving away from Bermuda and the U.S., so it's no threat to us.
🟠 DISTURBANCE #2 – A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday. Some models are pretty aggressive with development once it reaches the Atlantic, but I'm not sold on that happening quickly. There's still plenty of dry, stable air across the eastern Atlantic, which could make development a slow process.
Whether it develops right away or takes its time, the overall weather pattern continues to favor this system eventually turning north and out to sea. A persistent trough along the eastern U.S. should provide an escape route well before it gets anywhere near the U.S. coast. Bermuda may eventually need to keep an eye on it.
We're talking 10 - 15 days down the road, though, and that's an eternity in the tropics. The pattern looks reassuring right now, but I'll keep watching it as it makes the long trek across the Atlantic.