Storm Chaser Brandon

10/06/2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE forms and is forecast to become Tropical Storm Isaias tonight, then a Category 2 hurricane before landfall later Friday.

See my previous posts for what we see here (just rain)!

10/06/2026

TROPICAL UPDATE
3:45 PM TUESDAY 10/6/2026

Tropical Storm Isaias is expected to form within the next two days and could become the season’s first hurricane before making landfall along the Gulf Coast, most likely Saturday.

The system is expected to pass well to our west, so we don’t anticipate wind or storm surge impacts here. Being on the east side of a tropical system can bring a risk of a brief tornado or two, but right now, I think that risk is very low. Our only impact will be rain.

Here’s what to expect this weekend:

SATURDAY: Clouds thicken, with a chance of afternoon showers, especially along the coast.

SATURDAY NIGHT & SUNDAY: Rounds of showers and storms look increasingly likely as tropical moisture moves in. Heavy downpours could leave some areas with a few inches of rain.

While confidence is high that it will stay well to our west, the timing and amount of rain remain uncertain. As I mentioned in my previous post, I wouldn’t cancel your plans, but I would have a Plan B, especially for Sunday.

10/06/2026

WEEKEND FORECAST UPDATE

While much remains to be ironed out regarding the track and intensity of what will likely become Tropical Storm Isaias in the southern Gulf, it's increasingly likely we'll get some rain.

I'm confident the system will pass well to our west. However, strong westerly wind shear will likely make it lopsided, spreading rounds of rain hundreds of miles east of the center, and potentially into our area.

Here’s how the weekend looks based on the latest data:

SATURDAY: Thickening clouds with a chance of showers late in the day.

SUNDAY: Rounds of showers and storms are becoming increasingly likely as tropical moisture moves in. Heavy downpours are possible, with some areas potentially picking up a few inches of rain. Anytime you are on the east side of a tropical system, there's a concern for a brief tornado or two. Right now, I think that risk is very low.

The system hasn’t formed yet, so while confidence is high it will stay well to our west, the timing and amount of rain we’ll get remain uncertain. For now, I wouldn’t cancel plans, but keep a Plan B handy, especially for Sunday.

10/06/2026

TROPICAL UPDATE
3 AM TUESDAY 10/6/2026

Here’s a quick tropical update for you night owls!

Low pressure in the southern Gulf will likely become Tropical Storm Isaias later this week. How strong it gets remains uncertain and will depend on how much dry air and strong wind shear affect it. A hurricane is still possible.

Right now, signs point to landfall somewhere between Louisiana and the Florida Panhandle late Friday or over the weekend.

Although the storm will likely pass well to our west, moisture circulating around it could increase our rain chances this weekend. Rain is far from a slam dunk, though, so I wouldn’t change your plans just yet.

Once a well-defined center forms, we’ll have a better handle on its track and how much rain we might see. For now, possibilities range from a few showers to a soaking rain.

I’ll keep watching the trends and share another update later Tuesday.

10/01/2026

WHY CHASERS AND SPOTTERS ARE NEEDED!

Look at the radar yesterday around 5:09pm near .

A small, everyday looming shower or storm.

But in real life, it’s producing a big tornado.

It’s not the massive hooking supercell you’re used to hearing about. It’s a mini supercell. It exists in a tropical environment pulled northward. The small size and low storm bases evade the radar beam and make critical features harder to detect.

It’s why eyes in the field will always be important!

09/30/2026

09/23/2026

Another hurricane is headed for Hawaii.

It's a tropical depression south of the Big Island right now, but it's forecast to be a hurricane by Friday and pass just south of the island this weekend.

The rain is the big problem. Over a foot on the south and east side of the island, maybe 2 feet in the worst spots.

That's the same side Lala flooded five weeks ago. Those towns are still recovering.

It may never make landfall. We're watching it all week.

09/20/2026

DAMAGING WIND 💨 ZONE TOMORROW! Watching the area tomorrow where a belt of stronger flow exists, combined with waning summertime moisture to create an environment favorable for downbursts and microbursts with widespread shower and storm activity!

Eastern and is where storms should initiate, and then move eastward from there!

09/15/2026

Hey y’all! I just wanted to give y’all a quick update. I know I haven’t been able to post as much here recently, and I apologize for that! My day job has been keeping me extremely busy lately, and by the time I get home, there isn’t always much time left to keep up with the page the way I’d like to. That doesn’t mean I’ve lost interest though! I’m still watching the weather, keeping an eye on the setups, and looking forward to sharing more with y’all. I really appreciate everyone who continues to follow Severe Skies, and I’ll be getting back to posting more whenever I can! 🌩️🌪️⛈️

09/14/2026

🌩️ Severe Weather Outlook — Nebraska & Iowa Today

Monday, September 14, 2026

The SPC has a Slight Risk (Level 2/5) across portions of eastern Nebraska into western and central Iowa today

Main threats:

* 🌪️ Tornadoes: A few tornadoes are possible, including potentially strong tornadoes if storms remain discrete.
* 🧊 Large hail: Around 2”+ hail is possible, especially with initial supercells.
* 💨 Damaging winds: Increasing concern as storms merge into clusters/line segments.
* ⛈️ Storm timing: The primary severe window looks to be late afternoon through evening.

The environment could become quite unstable across eastern Nebraska/western Iowa, with roughly 2,000–3,000+ J/kg MLCAPE possible and strong low-level shear. The big uncertainty is how much the atmosphere destabilizes before storms develop.

📍 Best area to watch

I’d focus especially on the eastern Nebraska → western Iowa corridor, including areas around Lincoln/Omaha toward western and central Iowa. Storms should develop along/ahead of the advancing cold front and could initially become supercellular before evolving into clusters/line segments