Henrik zebergs

Henrik zebergs Head Macro Economist | Creator: Zeberg Macro Navigation Framework™ | TED Speaker | Forbes Economics Columnist | Author |

Understanding the Business Cycle isn't just intellectually interesting.It's one of the most powerful frameworks for inve...
07/23/2026

Understanding the Business Cycle isn't just intellectually interesting.

It's one of the most powerful frameworks for investing!

If you know where you are in the cycle, you can position yourself in:
- The right asset class.
- The right equity sectors.
- At the right time.

A simple four-phase, Business Cycle-based investment approach has dramatically outperformed a passive investment in the S&P 500.

Performance since 1986

S&P 500:
• Total Return: +3,178% (9.4% CAGR)
• Maximum Drawdown: 50.8%

Business Cycle Phase & Sector Strategy:
- Total Return: +15,433% (14.0% CAGR)
- Maximum Drawdown: 22.1%

That's nearly 5x the cumulative return of simply buying and holding the S&P 500 - while experiencing less than half the maximum drawdown.

The challenge isn't identifying the winning sectors.

The challenge is knowing when the Business Cycle is turning - because that's when leadership changes.

That's exactly what we're building with .

Sounds interesting?

07/23/2026

BMNR and SBET UPDATES

Over the past several weeks, both BMNR and SBET have completed important bullish technical developments. Key resistance levels have been broken, long-term consolidation patterns have resolved to the upside, and price action continues to confirm improving momentum.

If these breakouts hold, the rally is likely to unfold in the way many major bull markets do:

First slowly... then all of a sudden.

07/23/2026

Riot Platforms (RIOT) - Elliott Wave Analysis

Riot Holds Channel Support - One More Push Projected Into the Final Top.

“Last week, UBS served the 2026 vintage of the stew. Private credit fund interests - stakes in illiquid loan portfolios ...
07/23/2026

“Last week, UBS served the 2026 vintage of the stew. Private credit fund interests - stakes in illiquid loan portfolios that investors are currently queuing to exit - will be repackaged into bonds targeting an A2 rating from Moody’s, made investment-grade not by the quality of the loans but by a guarantee from an insurance company.”

07/20/2026

The Rotation Is Building the Portfolio Coil

The Risk-On Rally is far from done! And the Rotation is now showing. The Portfolio is build on the expected Macro environment, which begins to unfold.

The next 2-3 months should deliver the expected results.

07/20/2026

First Lower - then Take-Off for Equities again!

The Blow-Off Top is developing as expected. Equities will be needed for the final thrust - but we are already eyeing ROTATION spreading

07/20/2026

Elliott Wave Analysis - S&P 500 E-mini Futures (Weekly)

S&P 500 - The Final Advance Toward the Blow-Off Top

Who wins the AI-race? And is being First same as Winning?
07/20/2026

Who wins the AI-race? And is being First same as Winning?

What if you could identify where we are in the macro cycle by comparing today's economy with every quarter in modern his...
07/18/2026

What if you could identify where we are in the macro cycle by comparing today's economy with every quarter in modern history?

In our upcoming 'Democratizing Macro' service, you'll be able to do exactly that.

The comparison is based on nearly 1 million data points spanning:

• Valuations
• Market internals
• Labor markets
• Interest rates
• Credit conditions
• Housing
• ...and much more.

Today's closest historical matches:
🥇 1999 Q4 (94/100)
🥇 2007 Q3 (94/100)
🥉 1990 Q1 (91/100)

These periods all shared one defining characteristic:
- They were late-cycle environments marked by asset bubbles.
- In each case, a recession followed not long afterwards.

But identifying the historical analog is only half the story.

Our Portfolio Optimizer lets you build, stress-test, and compare portfolios across these historical scenarios - so you can see how your portfolio would have behaved and prepare for what may come next.

History never repeats perfectly - but it often rhymes.

Stay tuned!

Inequality limits growth!
07/18/2026

Inequality limits growth!

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