23/07/2026
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 2
Tropical Depression
Issued at 5:00 AM, 23 July 2026
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.
KIYAPO MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH WHILE MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD
OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA EAST OF CENTRAL LUZON.
• Location of Center (4:00 AM)
The center of Tropical Depression KIYAPO was estimated based on all available data at 950 km East of Central Luzon (15.5°N, 130.5°E).
• Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 55 km/h, and central pressure of 1002 hPa.
• Present Movement
West northwestward at 20 km/h
• Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong winds extend outwards up to 400 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
• TCWS No.1
Wind threat: Strong winds
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
Luzon:
Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, Apayao, Abra, Kalinga, the eastern and central portions of Mountain Province (Paracelis, Natonin, Barlig, Sadanga, Bontoc, Besao, Sagada), the eastern and central portions of Ifugao (Mayoyao, Aguinaldo, Alfonso Lista, Banaue, Hingyon, Lagawe), Ilocos Norte, the northern portion of Ilocos Sur (Cabugao, Sinait, San Juan, Magsingal, Santo Domingo, Bantay, San Ildefonso, San Vicente), and the northern portion of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran)
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 8 issued at 5:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to TC KIYAPO and the Southwest Monsoon.
Link: tinyurl.com/wxadvisory
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The highest Wind Signal that may be hoisted throughout the passage of KIYAPO is Wind Signal No. 2. However, the hoisting of Wind Signal No.3 is not ruled out if KIYAPO will intensify into a severe tropical storm while traversing the area of Batanes-Babuyan Islands.
The Southwest Monsoon and the periphery of KIYAPO will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
• Today: Most of Mindanao, Siquijor, Bohol, and Southern Leyte
• Tomorrow (24 July): Most of the country.
• Saturday (25 July): Most of Luzon, most of Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Misamis Occidental, Camiguin, Dinagat Islands, and Davao Oriental.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning will be issued today or tomorrow early morning over the seaboards of Extreme Northern Luzon.
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 3.0 m: The eastern seaboard of Davao Oriental.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The eastern seaboard of Surigao del Sur.
• Up to 2.0 m: The eastern seaboards of Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Eastern Samar, and Dinagat Islands; the western seaboards of Maguindanao, Sultan Kudarat, and Sarangani; the seaboards of Davao Occidental.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• KIYAPO will continue moving west northwestward until Saturday (25 July) towards the Luzon Strait before turning northwestward for the remaining of the forecast period. On the forecast track, the center of KIYAPO may pass very close to the northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan between tomorrow (24 July) morning and afternoon, then may pass very close or make landfall in the vicinity of Babuyan Islands between tomorrow afternoon and evening. It is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Saturday morning or noon.
• KIYAPO will gradually intensify while moving over the Philippine Sea and may reach tropical storm category tomorrow. It will continue to strengthen while traversing the Extreme Northern Luzon and may intensify into a severe tropical storm after passing the Babuyan Islands. A weakening trend is expected once KIYAPO makes landfall in the vicinity of southern mainland China and moves further inland.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 AM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Link: tinyurl.com/TCB-tab-1
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