MACRO ForEx ni Bay

08MAY2023

FINALLY! The long wait is over! We are proud to present to you our live portfolio

At 62.41% Gains in 14 trading days?

Our COPY TRADE is now available on ATFX, feel free to get in touch with Ms. Andrea Jian Joven to know more!

Here is our Live Portfolio Link:

https://www.myfxbook.com/members/ProfeticaMaxima/elev8-capital-gold-medium-low/10126212

My Views, not an Investment Advise!!!

MAKATINGALA NO?!?...

Nganong nagrate hike na nikunhod pa jud ang USD?

(In Filipino: "Nakakapagtataka ano, bakit nagrate hike na nga e nanghina pa ang USD?")

Currently, # # pairs on Buys and USD # # # on Sells

it is mainly due to other factors such as the dilemma of the US Economy that they cannot implement a 50 Base Point rate increase unlike other countries since they are aat the verge of overheating their economy as experienced by the 2 banks that has gone into receivership on FDIC, the Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank.

Higher Interest Rates means more money left in the deposits side by customers and lessser loans made by businesses and investors.

End result, banks has to service more interest repayments to their depositors with lesser source of income since loans are not taken by investors and business owners due to higher interest rates.

Hence, USD has assumed a Bearish stance when you compare the interest rate hikes aggressively made by other countries at 50 base points.

As of now the 25 base points and the guarded stance shown by the US Federal Reserve regarding the health of the banking industry and the effects of a higher interest rate to the US Economy further signals to the market that they are hiking interest rates but has to put in mind to keep a precarious balance between the two.

-Leo Elrey Europa Parreño, DVM, REB, REA
ForExNiBay Admin

The upcoming dilemma for the US FED Interest Rate Decision

upcoming release 2:00AM 23MAR2023

The Fear Factor: The Fed and Its Peers Wrestle with Dovish Hike or Hawkish Hold Decision

2023-03-21
Central banks around the world are facing a difficult decision: whether to pursue a dovish or hawkish approach as they navigate the post-pandemic economic recovery. This decision is particularly pressing for the Federal Reserve and its peers, as their policies have a significant impact on the global economy.

On one hand, a dovish approach would involve keeping interest rates low and continuing to provide monetary stimulus to boost economic growth. This would be beneficial for borrowers, such as households and businesses, as it would make borrowing cheaper and stimulate spending. However, it could also lead to higher inflation and financial instability in the long term.

On the other hand, a hawkish approach would involve raising interest rates and scaling back monetary stimulus to curb inflation and prevent financial imbalances. This would be beneficial for savers and lenders, as it would increase the returns on their investments and reduce the risk of bubbles forming in asset markets. However, it could also slow down economic growth and lead to a recession.

The decision of whether to pursue a dovish or hawkish approach is particularly challenging in the current economic climate. The post-pandemic recovery has been uneven, with some sectors experiencing rapid growth while others remain sluggish. In addition, there are still many uncertainties surrounding the trajectory of the pandemic, such as the emergence of new variants and the effectiveness of vaccines.

The fear factor comes into play as central banks weigh the risks of each approach. A dovish approach could lead to higher inflation, which could erode the purchasing power of households and lead to financial instability. This fear is particularly acute in the United States, where inflation has been running above the Fed's target rate of 2% for several months. If inflation continues to rise, the Fed may be forced to raise interest rates sooner than expected, which could hurt the economy.

On the other hand, a hawkish approach could lead to a slowdown in economic growth, which could hurt employment and household incomes. This fear is particularly acute in Europe and Japan, where the economic recovery has been slower than in the United States. In addition, a sudden tightening of monetary policy could lead to a sharp rise in bond yields, which could destabilize financial markets.

Against this backdrop, central banks are carefully calibrating their policies to strike the right balance between supporting economic growth and preventing inflation and financial instability. The Fed, for example, has indicated that it will begin tapering its asset purchases later this year, which is a step towards a more hawkish approach. However, it has also signaled that it will keep interest rates low for the foreseeable future, which is a nod towards a more dovish approach.

Ultimately, the fear factor will play a key role in shaping the policies of central banks in the coming months. They will need to carefully weigh the risks and benefits of each approach while keeping a close eye on the evolving economic and public health landscape. The decision of whether to pursue a dovish or hawkish approach will have significant implications for households, businesses, and financial markets around the world, making it a high-stakes game for the Fed and its peers.
Scenarios:

A 25 basis points Hike will Signal a Dovish Hike effect on the US dollar. ( 80% probability at the time of writing this commentary)

If no rate hike: Fed is to pause in March before raising interest rates by 50 Basis Points in May and June, thus making it Hawkish for the dollar in a short term.”

Commentary from the CEO of Elev8 Capital Holdings Engr, Mike Bryan Acosta
Copyrighted content for:
Elev8 Capital Holdings
Phoenix Community, FLGT

15MARCH2023

Live Account Update:

Current Balance: $0.00
Deposits: $ 304.42
Withdrawals: $1,756.83
Net Profit: $1,452.41
%Gain: 477.10%

Trading Duration: 18JAN - 14MAR2023
or ~40 trading days

10MAR2023

LOSING IS REAL!!! But make sure you WIN MORE!

Suffered some -250+ of Losses for the week, decisively liquidated my losing trade at 1837 levels when the Gold Price shot up to 1864 after a couple of hours... had I waited a bit more(after waiting for more than 2Days)

Ended the week with a positive balance despite the losses, account grew +$136.19, running gains for the month of March at +$375.43, current balance at $1,40.11 with a $50 add on deposit!

Will reset my Account again for next week starting with a $300 account balance and I'll take on the journey again!

Happy Weekend!

Trading Week: 27FEB-3MAR2023

* +$91.76, gains for the day(1030PM, 2MAR)
* +$268.02, total gains end of 4th day of 5 trading days

* $510.70, Day 1 Starting Balance
* $778.72, Current Balance

* +52.48% in 4 Days

01MARCH2023

Let’s start the month right!

After withdrawal of $437.00(19FEB2023)

Deposited and Started with Balance $243.75

Total Profits of $376.49 (28FEB2023)

+154.46% Account Growth

4:15PM 24FEB2023 Update

Reached 100.22% Gain(+$244.29) from a starting balance of $243.75 last Monday, 20FEB2023

US Session not yet traded! 😉

23FEB2023

Day 4 of 5
Today’s Gain: $54.97
4 Day Total Gains: $176.01
Starting Capital: $243.75
%Growth day 4 of 5: 72.21%

Week Ending 17JAN2023

Account 1(TView-001)
$ 51.46 one day gain
$ 104.48 Starting Capital
49.25% Gain

Account 2(TView-002)
$ 113.33 gains for 1 week
$ 408.00 Starting Balance on Day 1
27.77% Gain for the week

Total Performance for the week
$ 154.79 Total Week’s Gain
$ 512.48 Total Balance of 2 Accounts
30.20% Gain for the week