27/02/2022
Researchers from the Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur (IIT-K) have predicted that the fourth wave may set in around June 22 and continue till October 24.
Predictions by the researchers have reportedly been near accurate during the last three times, with a deviation of only a few days. The team, conducted by the Sabara Parshad Rajeshbhai, Subhra Sankar Dhar and Shalabh of the department of mathematics and statistics of IIT-K, used a statistical model for their prediction and said that the fourth wave in India may arrive 936 days after the initial available date of the Covid-19 outbreak (January 30, 2020).
However, the severity of the wave, they said, will depend on the emergence of new variants, vaccination status, and administration of booster doses.