Instituto de Economia da UFRJ

Nesta época festiva, o Instituto de Economia manifesta sua sincera gratidão pela dedicação, cooperação e solicitude que marcaram o ano de 2025. Foi graças ao empenho e à colaboração de todos que seguimos fortalecendo nossa missão de promover o conhecimento e a excelência na área econômica.

Desejamos que 2026 seja um ano repleto de saúde, sucesso e realizações, tanto no âmbito pessoal quanto profissional e acadêmico. Estamos confiantes de que, juntos, continuaremos a construir uma trajetória de crescimento e de impacto positivo para nossa comunidade acadêmica e para a sociedade em geral.

Boas festas!!!
A DIREÇÃO DO IE-UFRJ

IE NA MÍDIA 2025

RADIOGRAFIA DE UM TARIFAÇO

Data: 18/12/2025

Veículo: Revista Minerva

Professoras: Marta Castilho (IE-UFRJ); Kethelyn Ferreira (IE-UFRJ)

https://redeminerva.pr2.ufrj.br/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/PDF-FINAL-SITE-MINERVA-VALE.pdf

https://www.ie.ufrj.br/publicacoes-j/ie-na-midia.html

TEXTO PARA DISCUSSÃO 2025

TD 016|2025 - Política fiscal sob a ótica do conflito distributivo: uma abordagem teórica integrada

Simone Fioritti
(Professora Adjunta do Instituto de Economia da UFRJ/Brasil)

https://www.ie.ufrj.br/publicacoes-j/textos-para-discussao.html

https://www.ie.ufrj.br/images/IE/TDS/2025/TD_IE_016_2025_FIORITTI-v2.pdf

3rd Agent-Based Macroeconomics Workshop (ABMW)

CRITICAL DATES
– New Deadline for submissions: 15/01/2025
– Notification of acceptance: 09/01/2026
– Deadline for registration: 06/02/2026

Policy and finance for sustainable and inclusive growth
20th February 2026
Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Rio de Janeiro (Brazil)

LINK FOR SUBMISSIONS
https://tinyurl.com/abamsspapers26

The third edition of the Agent-Based Macroeconomics Workshop brings together researchers to explore pressing topics at the intersection of economic growth, inequality, green re-industrialization, AI innovation, sustainable finance, and climate change. Taking the approach of modeling the economy as an Evolving Complex System, this edition of the workshop is dedicated to advancing our understanding which policy combinations and finance architectures can foster sustainable and inclusive growth during the twin (green and digital) transitions.
The event welcomes both applied and theoretical research. It will address both global and Brazilian challenges, such as supporting innovation, reducing income and wealth inequality, promoting sustainable economic growth, improving economic stability, and accelerating the transition to a sustainable economy, by means of a combination of rigorous academic studies and practical policy insights.

WORKSHOP THEMES
The workshop welcomes contributions that address the following key themes:
– Endogenous growth
– Business and financial cycles
– Innovation, technological and structural change
– Climate and economic coevolution
– Modeling economic and ecological sustainability
– Labor market dynamics
– Fiscal and monetary policies
– Industrial and innovation policies
– Green finance fostering the transition to a low-carbon economy
– Climate change mitigation and adaptation policies

KEYNOTE SPEAKERS
Gilberto Tadeu Lima (Universidade de São Paulo)
Marco Valente (Università degli Studi dell’Aquila)

https://www.ie.ufrj.br/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=864

7th Agent-Based Macroeconomics Summer School (ABaMSS)
19th – 25th February 2026
Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Rio de Janeiro (Brazil)

CRITICAL DATES
– New Deadline for applications: 15/01/2026
– Notification of acceptance: 09/01/2026

LINK FOR APPLICATIONS
https://tinyurl.com/abamss26

The summer school aims to provide an overview of Agent-Based Macroeconomics (ABM) from both theoretical and applied perspectives. It starts motivating the utilization of a complexity approach to macroeconomics, rooted in models with heterogeneous, interacting agents. It then extensively presents the Agent-Based Computational Economics approach, elucidating various macroeconomic models accounting for endogenous growth, business cycles, crises, development, and climate economic coevolution. The presentation of the models includes potential applications to economic policy issues such as fiscal, monetary, innovation, industrial, labor, and climate-change interventions.
Participants will also take part in hands-on ABM implementation labs, gaining exposure to a wide array of techniques, from foundational to cutting-edge methodologies. Moreover, participants will have the opportunity to attend the 3rd Agent-Based Macroeconomics Workshop and are invited to submit their research papers for presentation during the event.

APPLICATION
Apply to the Summer School by filling in the Application Form by clicking here or by copying and pasting https://tinyurl.com/abamss26 in your web browser, where you must upload a short CV and a letter of motivation (no longer than 500 words). A recommendation letter is welcome but not mandatory for the application. Postdoctoral researchers, Ph.D. and master’s students are particularly welcome. The summer school language is English. Participation is free of charge.
We are finalizing arrangements to support accommodation and travel expenses for students coming from outside of Rio de Janeiro. The confirmation of support will come no later than 30/11/2026.

https://www.ie.ufrj.br/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=863

IE NA MÍDIA

Coletânea de textos publicados na Folha detalha inflação descontrolada e recessão no regime militar

Data: 12/12/2025
Veículo: Folha de São Paulo

Professor: João Saboia (IE-UFRJ)

https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/mercado/2025/12/livro-detalha-inflacao-descontrolada-e-recessao-na-ditadura-atraves-de-textos-publicados-na-folha.shtml

_____________________

CONVITE ESPECIAL - LANÇAMENTO DO LIVRO - 16/12 - 19H - Livraria Argumento

Economia e Mercado de Trabalho no Final da Ditadura
Um olhar para o andar de baixo

Neste livro, João Saboia apresenta uma coletânea de seus artigos publicados no Caderno de Economia da Folha de S. Paulo na primeira metade dos anos de 1980. Escolheu textos que, após mais de quarenta anos, seriam os mais relevantes para recuperar os acontecimentos dessa época.

Aquele foi um período muito difícil para o país. A economia brasileira enfrentava a explosão da inflação e uma das maiores recessões de todos os tempos por conta da crise da dívida externa e da política econômica implantada pelo ministro Delfim Netto. Apesar das dificuldades, foi um período de grande esperança para a população brasileira com a proximidade do retorno à democracia.

Segundo o autor, sua intenção com a publicação dos artigos, depois de tantos anos, foi contribuir para que novas gerações tenham acesso a informações relevantes da política e da economia daqueles anos sob um enfoque claramente voltado para os trabalhadores – “o andar de baixo”.

DATA
16/12 às 19 horas
LOCAL
Livraria Argumento
Rua Dias Ferreira 417, Leblon, RJ.

Balanço do ano e perspectivas - PodCast GCE 2025 12/12

PodCast do Grupo de Conjuntura IE - UFRJ
Balanço do ano e perspectivas
Participam: Antonio Licha, Francisco Eduardo Pires de Souza e Margarida Gutierrez.

Balanço do ano e perspectivas - PodCast GCE 2025 12/12 PodCast do Grupo de Conjuntura IE - UFRJBalanço do ano e perspectivasParticipam: Antonio Licha, Francisco Eduardo Pires de Souza e Margarida Gutierrez.

7th Agent-Based Macroeconomics Summer School (ABaMSS)
19th – 25th February 2026
Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Rio de Janeiro (Brazil)

LINK FOR APPLICATIONS
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSehClhhnH95UMZXR1FbqSUloDBsVRmFAowIZfIG7IPDt7F83w/viewform

The summer school aims to provide an overview of Agent-Based Macroeconomics (ABM) from both theoretical and applied perspectives. It starts motivating the utilization of a complexity approach to macroeconomics, rooted in models with heterogeneous, interacting agents. It then extensively presents the Agent-Based Computational Economics approach, elucidating various macroeconomic models accounting for endogenous growth, business cycles, crises, development, and climate economic coevolution. The presentation of the models includes potential applications to economic policy issues such as fiscal, monetary, innovation, industrial, labor, and climate-change interventions.
Participants will also take part in hands-on ABM implementation labs, gaining exposure to a wide array of techniques, from foundational to cutting-edge methodologies. Moreover, participants will have the opportunity to attend the 3rd Agent-Based Macroeconomics Workshop and are invited to submit their research papers for presentation during the event.

APPLICATION
Apply to the Summer School by filling in the Application Form by clicking here or by copying and pasting https://tinyurl.com/abamss26 in your web browser, where you must upload a short CV and a letter of motivation (no longer than 500 words). A recommendation letter is welcome but not mandatory for the application. Postdoctoral researchers, Ph.D. and master’s students are particularly welcome. The summer school language is English. Participation is free of charge.
We are finalizing arrangements to support accommodation and travel expenses for students coming from outside of Rio de Janeiro. The confirmation of support will come no later than 30/11/2026.

CRITICAL DATES
– Deadline for applications: 12/12/2025
– Notification of acceptance: 09/01/2026

https://www.ie.ufrj.br/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=863

Curto-Circuito 85: A Mudança de Nome da Eletrobras

A mudança de nome da Eletrobras simboliza a mudança radical do papel da empresa no setor elétrico brasileiro. O abandono do compromisso histórico com a segurança energética do país e a adesão à distribuição de dividendos para satisfazer aos acionistas privados como objetivo principal da empresa traz implicações extremamente negativas para o acesso da economia e da sociedade brasileira à energia elétrica. Esse é o tema desse Curto-Circuito 85. O programa é apresentado por Ronaldo Bicalho, pesquisador do IE-UFRJ.

Curto-Circuito 85: A Mudança de Nome da Eletrobras A mudança de nome da Eletrobras simboliza a mudança radical do papel da empresa no setor elétrico brasileiro. O abandono do compromisso histórico com a segur...

IE NA MÍDIA

ENTRE A DÍVIDA E A SOBREVIVÊNCIA Como os juros aprofundam a desigualdade no Brasil

Data: 12/12/2025
Veículo: R7 Estúdio
Editoria: Economia

Professor: Ricardo Summa (IE-UFRJ)

https://www.r7.com/estudio/noticias/entre-a-divida-e-a-sobrevivencia-como-os-juros-aprofundam-a-desigualdade-no-brasil-09122025/

CICLO DE DEBATES INSTITUTO DE ECONOMIA DA UFRJ - 15/12 - 15h - SALA 102

From National Systems to Regional Realities: New Advances in Measuring the Shadow Economy in Central and Eastern Europe Using Currency Demand and Dynamic Panel Methods

PALESTRANTES E FILIAÇÃO INSTITUCIONAL:
Adriana AnaMaria Davidescu
(PhD, Professor, Head of Business Economics Data Science Lab, Bucharest University of Economic Studies).

Diana Marina Agafitei
(PhD Student, Bucharest University of Economic Studies)

DATA: 15/12/2025 (segunda-feira)
HORA: 15h
SALA: 102

ABSTRACT: The seminar brings together two complementary strands of research that significantly advance the empirical understanding of the shadow economy in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), by integrating macro-level and regional-level perspectives within the Currency Demand Approach (CDA) and dynamic panel frameworks.The first study develops an enhanced variant of the CDA embedded in a Pooled Mean Group Autoregressive Distributed Lag (PMG–ARDL) model using data for 13 CEE countries between 1995 and 2022. The analysis reveals taxation as the dominant long-run driver of excess currency demand, alongside income growth, interest rate dynamics, financial infrastructure, and most critically, enforcement strength. Through counterfactual simulations and Monte Carlo optimisation, the study demonstrates that informality can only be substantially reduced under conditions of robust institutional enforcement combined with realistic fiscal pressure, highlighting the structural persistence of shadow activity in post-transition economies.The second study extends this framework to the regional level by proposing an innovative methodology for generating NUTS-2 estimations of the informal economy in 11 CEE EU member states from 2001 to 2021. By integrating a hybrid regionalisation approach, combining economic weights with structural composite indices, and estimating regional CDA-PMG models, this paper uncovers sizeable intra-national disparities in informality. Capital regions consistently display lower shadow economy shares, whereas structurally weaker and rural regions exhibit persistent informality driven by enforcement gaps, labour market structures, and financial inclusion differentials.Together, the two studies offer a unified analytical framework in which national-level structural determinants and regional heterogeneities are mutually reinforcing. They show that while macro-institutional reforms reduce informality in the long run, spatial disparities persist when regional enforcement, digitalisation, and sectoral structures diverge. The seminar, therefore, provides an integrated narrative on how methodological innovation in CDA estimation, combined with dynamic panel modelling and regionalisation techniques, can support more effective and territorially sensitive strategies to curb informal economic activity in CEE.

Genocídio em Gaza e a Questão Palestina

Encontro Nacional de Economia Política Internacional (ENEPI) 2025
Ruínas do Velho Mundo: Em Busca de uma Nova Ordem Mundial

Mesa de Encerramento: “Genocídio em Gaza e a Questão Palestina”

Participantes:
Mônica Herz, PUC-Rio,
Francirosy Campos, USP,
Beatriz Bissio, IFCS-UFRJ

Mediação:
Maurício Metri (IRID-UFRJ)

Data/Hora: 28/11/2025 – 17h

Local: Salão Pedro Calmon (Palácio Universitário da UFRJ)
____________________________________________________________
Programação Visual: Camila (Site/IE-UFRJ)
Edição: Rafael Prietto (Canal IE)
Realização: Canal IE/Comissão de Apoio à Comunicação e Divulgação do Instituto de Economia da UFRJ

Genocídio em Gaza e a Questão Palestina Encontro Nacional de Economia Política Internacional (ENEPI) 2025Ruínas do Velho Mundo: Em Busca de uma Nova Ordem MundialMesa de Encerramento: “Genocídio em...