Maan-shiil Statistics and Research Consultant Borama Somaliland

Summary

| Model | Structure | Stationarity | Cointegration | Applications |
|-------|-----------|--------------|----------------|--------------|
| VAR | Multiple time series; each variable depends on its own lags and others' lags | Assumes all variables are stationary | Not designed for cointegration | Macroeconomic modeling, forecasting |
| VECM | Extension of VAR for cointegrated variables; includes error correction | Non-stationary; cointegration required | Specifically for cointegrated variables | Long-term economic analysis |
| ARDL | Single equation; can include lags of dependent and independent variables | Mixed order of integration | Can handle both I(0) and I(1) | Short-run and long-run relationship analysis |

These models serve different purposes depending on the nature of the data and the research questions at hand.

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Maan-shiil statistic and research page is a consultancy page established in Borama, Somaliland, by a senior applied statician Abdisalam Amin Esse.Maanshiil has been involved in action-oriented research related to pastoral and agro-pastoral development throughout the Horn of Africa and has an established track record in the field of pastoral research, project implementation, economic development issues, gender studies and policy advocacy among pastoral peoples throughout the region. Maanshiil values Indigenous Knowledge and Practices; and Afro-centric perspectives on African contemporary development issues. It promotes systemic and multi-disciplinary approaches, looking at both national and regional development issues with a view to promoting approaches to policy and program design and implementation that emphasizes outcomes.