Bemerkungen
Myanmar Coup Is A CCP / PLA Victory :
As we review the past ten years of news stories, and the repeated warnings that Myanmar was at risk from Communist Chinese involvements and intentions, we see the building of what is most certainly now a Communist Chinese Party, PLA, victory in Myanmar. One that was not entirely unexpected, and certainly far from unpredictable. The ties between the CCP / PLA and the coup leadership of the current military takeover are unequivocal, and the scenario has been building for a long time. It is a major loss to the United States and its allies, which again speaks to an unavoidable Cold War with Communist China, who have again acted in the manner of the USSR, in that history of Communist leadership. A leadership that the CCP have fully claimed, in the era subsequent to the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Some basic points are summarized in the quoted news from the past decade during which the CCP / PLA have been building up their influence, and exerting their freedoms of action, into neighbouring states, such as Myanmar.
In November 2011, according to The Irrawaddy News, it was "widely believed" that following Min Aung Hlaing's meetings with Chinese military officials that month and his leadership in creating a bilateral agreement on defense cooperation with the Chinese, he had also held talks with Chinese Vice-President Xi Jinping regarding cooperation from China with respect to the Kachin Conflict.
August of 2016 continued the formation of closer relations with the CCP and PLA. “COMMANDER-in-Chief of Defence Services Senior General Min Aung Hlaing received Mr Song Tao, Minister of the International Department of the Communist Party of the People’s Republic of China, in Nay Pyi Taw yesterday. At the meeting the two representatives discussed strengthening the good relations between the armed forces of the two countries with understanding and trust, cooperation for stability and the development of Myanmar, security issues at the border and the peace process in Myanmar.
Also present were Deputy Commander-in-Chief of Defence Services Commander-in-Chief (Army) Vice-Senior General Soe Win, senior military officers from the Office of the Commander-in-Chief (Army) and Ambassador of China to Myanmar Mr Hong Liang.”
Chinese President Xi Jinping (R) meets with Myanmar's Commander-in-Chief of Defense Services Sen-Gen Min Aung Hlaing in Beijing, capital of China, Nov. 24, 2017. China pays great attention to the peace process in Myanmar, and is willing to play a constructive role in this regard for the security and stability in their border areas, President Xi Jinping said Friday. Xi, general secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee, said the 19th CPC National Congress has adopted a blueprint for China's economic and social reform and development for the years to come.
"It will not only inject great vitality into China's own development, but also bring new opportunities for various countries, including Myanmar, in their cooperation with China," he said. Hailing the "profound bilateral friendship," Xi called on the two countries to "strengthen strategic communication and accommodate each other's concerns."
September 2019: “Some UN investigators have even mentioned the possibility of bringing top generals, including Min Aung Hlaing, as well as Suu Kyi, to the International Criminal Court for atrocities committed against the Rohingyas and ethnic minorities in other frontier areas. European and American investors, previously bullish on what had being glowingly referred to as Asia’s “last frontier” market, are now reluctant to commit capital due to the negative impact it could have on their corporate reputations. China has filled the Western gap with loans, trade and investment, not to mention diplomatic support at the UN. But that has put the Tatmadaw, the self-styled guardian of the country’s independence, at loggerheads with Suu Kyi’s civilian government.”
Clearly the CCP has provided at the very least strong implicit support, and perhaps more, for Myanmar ethnic cleansing of the Rohingyas and other ethnic minorities in the frontier areas, paralleling its own continued actions against China's Uighur and other minority ethnic populations in areas the CCP, PLA already controls. Where the United States, the EU, and others were opposed to China's, and Myanmar's actions in relation to insurgent and oppositional minorities, we find that the CCP / PLA stands fully in league with and in favour of that type of policy being exerted in all areas where Chinese Communist control and influence gain ground and can be exerted. We see the same progression being played out in Tibet, in Xinjiang, against the Falun Gong, and others in China, as we see being played out in Myanmar. The latter an area of persistent, intense, and deep, Chinese involvement, with continual support by Communist China of Communists in Myanmar. A similar pattern to China's support for Maoists globally, in many other areas of the world including the growing Maoist threat to India.
September 2, 2020 “Commander-in-Chief of Defence Services Senior General Min Aung Hlaing received a delegation led by H.E. Mr. Yang Jiechi, Member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee of the People’s Republic of China at the parlour of Zeyathiri Beikman, here, this morning. Also present at the meeting together with the Senior General were Deputy Commander-in-Chief of Defence Services Commander-in-Chief (Army) Vice-Senior General Soe Win and senior military officers from the Office of the Commander-in-Chief (Army). The Member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China Central Committee of the People’s Republic of China was accompanied by high ranking officials and Chinese Ambassador to Myanmar H.E. Mr. Chen Hai. They frankly discussed promotion of sectorwise cooperation as Myanmar and China, being good and old friends, have been enhancing relationship for 70 years with brotherly spirit, implementation of bilateral agreements on the visit of President H.E. Mr. Xi Jinping to Myanmar in January this year”
What we see in the playing out of the coup in Myanmar is a strengthening of CCP / PLA influence and “support” for the Myanmar military regime, which is intent on working closely with Communist China to oust Western, particularly United States, influence. Not surprising in consideration of the fact that Myanmar borders to China and to areas that are integral to China's more immediate plans and actions directed at expanding its regional dominance, influence and control, as part of its commitment to regional and global ambitions that echo those expressed by the USSR at the height of its global involvements. A mantle that the CCP / PLA were quick to take on, right from the beginning, when the CCP became the world's largest and leading Stalinism influenced Communist power.
The Educated Ignu :
Ignu was a word used by poet Allen Ginsberg to refer to the common ignorant man. Then came the educated Ignu, having completed High School, college educated and university degreed. Still an Ignu, but an educated Ignu.
We were educated, but we did not have a clue how to start and run a business, how and when to find a good lawyer, what the law really is, how our political system really works, how to find and keep the right job, what to do and what not to do on the job, how to find a good doctor or dentist and what we can reasonably expect in terms of care, what to do in the case of substandard care, what our own culture really is and how to preserve it, how to find the right mate, how to properly raise children, how to drive a car, about insurance, and nearly anything else of any importance, including they didn't teach us how to change a water tap washer. We were educated in the reading, writing and arithmetic of total ignorance. Oh, we were so highly educated, but that in itself is what assured us of being ignorant.
Communism, Debt, Climate, And Pandemic Depression :
China's Chairman Xi has sought to establish his own Davos type globalist council in hopes that Communist China, and thus Communist ideology and intent, can prevail at influencing the global community, and the global economy to the greatest extent possible. That increases the systemic dangers that come from Communism. Keeping in mind that the worse the global economic situation is, and the more people suffer, the better the prospects for Communist gains become. Communism loves suffering. Assuring economic victimization and helplessness is a favorite tool of Communist aggression. Let's make no bones about it, China definitely wants to rule the world, and to push the United States out of the game, ANY way that it thinks it can. It is the largest economic vampire that has ever come into being. It is, intent on sucking the global economic life blood dry, from any and every wound. Where it does not find opportunity, as to wounds, it is quite ready and able to make new ones to feed upon.
On the other hand America's President Joe Biden has not, as of yet, done what Former President Trump was counselled to do. That is to call in the top ranking economic influences and investors into what would amount to being an Economic Council to help decide and facilitate the rebuilding of infrastructure, industrial base, and even revitalization of arts and culture, in what must become a Roosevelt type "New Deal" with domestic and global implications. This is not the time for an Obama era style group of advisors. The situation is far more critical than that, and threatens to evolve into a global depression of long lasting impact. One of the weaknesses, as to American Capitalism, is that it is under planned, and often over developed. Thus in the wrong areas, leading to waste and attrition in its avoidance of more centralized control and direction. That can be greatly mitigated but it would require immense cooperation from big money, with the administration, as to who is going to do what, where and how. It can be done, but without big money brought fully in, to working together, along with the administration the typical laissez faire economics, even with the advent of behavioral manipulations will prove disastrous.
The long anticipated economic news is starting to come in and it is approximately what we expected would happen. On the other hand do not blame it all on the pandemic. It is believed that an economic crisis was going to occur even without the pandemic, and that the pandemic only acted as a catalyst in terms of when the inevitable would hit the global economy. What is certain is that it will not be an easy or a quick climb out of what is poised to become a global depression. One that will hit some regions much harder than others. A lot of investments are now investments into debt, not equity. Worn out, run down, over borrowed against, is the rule not the exception, and that house of cards will tumble down given the inevitable of changes in the trends and the weather. The tumble down in private borrowing is immanent, and the corporate tumble down certain to follow as to gathering its own momentum. The days of reckoning have been looming on the horizon for a long time, and another economic cycle has ended. The economic grim reaper is at many a door, and more doors every day.
There was a growing excess of unsustainable debt indicating that the global economy was headed into a period of very severe adjustments and changes. The world simply could not continue down that path for much longer. That included excessive corporate and private debt, with much of it poorly invested in a world where many types of sources of supply potentially greatly exceeded actual needs and demands. We must come to terms with the fact that a very significant portion of total debts will, in all probability, never be paid nor will it ever be recovered. Encouraging the global population to keep spending, will not provide the means to digging the way out of the ever deeper hole. In many cases they are being encouraged to spend on the wrong things, because those are the things that they are being offered and stimulated behaviorally to "need". In many cases they remain sold on a world that no longer exists, and that in many regards cannot exist into the future.
Climate change, whatever its actual causes, increasingly threatened a wide range of economic activities. It was largely entirely unplanned for, and increasingly disruptive. In many cases economic activity was concentrated in all the wrong places where it would become most severely impacted. Similarly what you then need, in growing climate disaster, is mostly not what you planned on needing. Worse yet when economic patterns built a global economy that is contrary to actual needs and too much needs to change direction. That and someone has to ultimately pay for all the damage that climate then does. The losses keep mounting and their impact keeps growing. We still do not have a truly independent Climate Change Institute, capable of having the best scientific and engineering minds working on both the real causes and the best possible solutions. One that is freed from political ambitions and profit seeking influences. One that is as objective in climate research as CERN is particle research, and one that similarly seeks six sigma certainties in peer review. We don't have that but we need it. We need it badly.
There is a lot that we need and do not have. It is a long list, but politics, society and economics, as they occur in the real world, are remarkably slow to change, slow to adapt, and often quite irrational. So it is a tough job, and the leading competition definitely wants America to fail. It is willing to become and be as aggressive as it feels it needs to be to achieve that aim. America being the target, and its allies along with it, with every attempt being made to create rifts between America and its allies in the service of the same ends. That too must be kept firmly in mind. A lot can happen that comes from hostile influence, in a world where the hostile competition has unprecedented means to effecting influence, where it is continually poised to develop more means to that effect. It has more people and resources directed at such goals than any nation has ever utilized before, and that rise of power will not prove easy to counter, nor will it prove easy to bring to an end. Nevertheless nations, and their values, are not unlike individuals in their struggles for individual expression and survival. They are often willing to fight for survival and that too must always be kept within the potential reckoning. That too must remain a very real part of planning and response.